ACC Bracketology stock watch: buy Virginia Tech, sell Wake Forest


Virginia Tech

  • What else can you say? Here come Mike Young and them boys!
  • All season long, Virginia Tech lurked as a team that was better than its record indicated. The advanced metrics and VT’s point differential suggested that the Hokies were a good team, one with postseason potential.
  • Virginia Tech has three straight wins in Brooklyn, including victories over Notre Dame and red-hot North Carolina, two teams in the NCAA Tournament field.
  • Resume
    • Record: 22-12 (11-9 ACC)
    • NET Ranking: 30
      • Up 7 spots from the start of the week
    • RPI: 61
    • KenPom: 25
    • The Hokies are now the top team in ESPN’s “First Four Out” category; they’ve usurped Wake Forest in the rankings. A win over Duke at the ACC Tournament would immediately put this team in the field: via an automatic bid. However, even with a loss, Virginia Tech gave itself a real chance. Young’s team now appears in 24 brackets at Bracket Matrix.



North Carolina

  • By losing to Virginia Tech in the Semifinals of the ACC Tournament, North Carolina actually added a Quad 1 win. With the Hokies winning and jumping to No. 30 in the NET, UNC’s road win in Blacksburg on Feb. 19 now counts as a Q1 victory.
  • This is such a weird system.


Wake Forest

  • Since the Demon Deacons were upset on Wednesday by Boston College, pretty much everything has gone wrong for Wake Forest. That loss was costly; however, it was seemingly manageable. For the time being, Wake Forest remained in the 68-team field, according to ESPN’s Joe Lunardi. Unfortunately for Steve Forbes, a lot can change in a few days.
    • Indiana defeated Michigan and Illinois in back-to-back days at the Big Ten Tournament. The Hoosiers are safely in the field now.
    • Oklahoma upset Baylor at the Big 12 Tournament — before falling to Texas Tech by one point
    • Dayton held on to beat UMass on Friday; the Flyers now play Richmond on Saturday
    • Texas A&M is still in the “Next Four Out” of Lunardi’s bracket; however, the Aggies have wins over Florida and Auburn at the SEC Tournament. TAMU will play Arkansas on Saturday, which is another opportunity to move further up the line
    • Virginia Tech’s run to the Finals of the ACC Tournament has also hurt
  • Resume
    • Record: 23-9 (13-7 ACC)
    • NET Ranking: 45
      • Wake started the week No. 39 in the NET
    • RPI: 79
    • KenPom: 35